Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally
Ghent Eviction Risk: Lower , Norfolk
Tract 51710004001 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 1,380 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
How risky is Ghent in Norfolk for landlords? Census tract 51710004001 scores 4.5/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 22nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
30% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,946 a month against an average household income of $148,411 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units633
Renter share36.3%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$148,411
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
50
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8599, -76.2918 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ghent scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,946 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Ghent compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 61%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5Total filings over 2 yrs
- 1.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.3%Peak (2016)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ghent. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.7%Food insecurity
- 3.1%SNAP enrollment
- 3.8%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 13.2%Frequent mental distress
- 20.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ghent
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
In CDC survey modeling, about 4.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710004001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710004001?
Census tract 51710004001 in the Ghent neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710004001?
Median gross rent is $1,946/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710004001?
2.8% of residents in tract 51710004001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,380.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710004001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 6th, minority 37th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 51710004001 considered part of Ghent?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710004001 fall within Ghent (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710004001?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710004001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.02% of renter households, peaking at 1.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710004001 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710004001 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710004001 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710004001 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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