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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Ghent Eviction Risk: Lower , Norfolk

Tract 51710004001 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 1,380 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 51710004001 in the Ghent area of Norfolk, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,380. 30% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Norfolk City average of 50.4%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 25% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units633
Renter share36.3%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$148,411

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Ghent
Very Low
Within parent city
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#71 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Very Low
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#78 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
Very Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.8599, -76.2918 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ghent scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,946 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Ghent compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ghent risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0040014.1Norfolkparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 1.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.3%Peak (2016)
  • 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ghent. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ghent

At $1,946 a month, rents run 47% over what the rest of Norfolk commands. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. SNAP participation runs 3.1% against 15.2% nationally.

It sits 1.1 points below the Norfolk City average of 4.1. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.

Court records carry 5 eviction filings across 2 observed years. The voucher gap is 14.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 1.3% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Norfolk. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.8/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710004001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710004001?

Census tract 51710004001 in the Ghent neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710004001?

Median gross rent is $1,946/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710004001?

2.8% of residents in tract 51710004001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,380.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710004001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 6th, minority 37th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 51710004001 considered part of Ghent?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710004001 fall within Ghent (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710004001?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710004001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.02% of renter households, peaking at 1.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710004001 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710004001 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710004001 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51710004001 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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