Ghent Eviction Risk: Lower , Norfolk
Tract 51710004002 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 3,313 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51710004002 covers part of the Ghent area of Norfolk, VA, and scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,313 residents. 32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Norfolk City average of 50.4%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8571, -76.3012 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ghent scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Ghent compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 15%Grade B
- 37%Grade C
- 16%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 111Total filings over 2 yrs
- 4.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.0%Peak (2011)
- 41Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ghent. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.6%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 26.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Ghent
25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 111 eviction filings across 2 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 5.0% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Norfolk. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Norfolk eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract. Social vulnerability reads 5.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51710004002
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710004002?
What is the average rent in tract 51710004002?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710004002?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710004002?
Is tract 51710004002 considered part of Ghent?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710004002?
What share of households in tract 51710004002 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51710004002 compare to Norfolk overall?
Was tract 51710004002 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.