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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Ghent Eviction Risk: Lower , Norfolk

Tract 51710004002 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 3,313 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51710004002 covers part of the Ghent area of Norfolk, VA, and scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,313 residents. 32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Norfolk City average of 50.4%.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 51% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,974
Renter share75.0%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate15.7%
Median income$71,736

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Ghent
Very High
Within parent city
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#40 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Moderate
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#39 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
Moderate
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#1,111 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.8571, -76.3012 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ghent scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.7% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,421 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Ghent compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ghent risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0040024.1Norfolkparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 111Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 4.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.0%Peak (2011)
  • 41Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ghent. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ghent

25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 111 eviction filings across 2 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2011 at 5.0% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Norfolk. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Norfolk eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract. Social vulnerability reads 5.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710004002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710004002?

Census tract 51710004002 in the Ghent neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710004002?

Median gross rent is $1,421/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710004002?

15.7% of residents in tract 51710004002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,313.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710004002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 14th, minority 33th, housing 91th.
Q5

Is tract 51710004002 considered part of Ghent?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710004002 fall within Ghent (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710004002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 111 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710004002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.00% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710004002 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710004002 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710004002 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51710004002 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 16% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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