Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Ghent Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk

Tract 51710004002 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 3,313 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51710004002 sits in the Ghent area of Norfolk eviction risk, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. On the national scale it ranks #58,691 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 32% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,421 a month while the average household earns $71,736 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 75% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 51% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,974
Renter share75.0%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate15.7%
Median income$71,736

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Ghent
Very High
Within parent city
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#40 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Moderate
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
Moderate
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#387 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.8571, -76.3012 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ghent scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.7% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,421 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Ghent compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ghent risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 004002Norfolk: 4.54.5Norfolkparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 111Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 4.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.0%Peak (2011)
  • 41Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ghent. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ghent

The heaviest input here is housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710004002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710004002?

Census tract 51710004002 in the Ghent neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710004002?

Median gross rent is $1,421/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710004002?

15.7% of residents in tract 51710004002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,313.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710004002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 14th, minority 33th, housing 91th.
Q5

Is tract 51710004002 considered part of Ghent?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710004002 fall within Ghent (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710004002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 111 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710004002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.00% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710004002 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710004002 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710004002 scores 4.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51710004002 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 16% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related