Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Crawford Bay Eviction Risk: Lower , Norfolk
Tract 51710004900 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 5,684 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
51710004900 is a census tract in the Crawford Bay area of Norfolk, VA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,684. 32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Norfolk City average of 50.4%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 49%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units2,816
Renter share72.5%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$84,848
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
23
th percentile
Low
Within county
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8498, -76.2913 · click any tract to drill in
Why Crawford Bay scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,755 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Crawford Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 8%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 186Total filings over 2 yrs
- 6.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.0%Peak (2011)
- 78Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.0%Food insecurity
- 7.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 24.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Crawford Bay
At $1,755 a month, rents run 33% over what the rest of Norfolk commands. This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.3/10. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Against the Norfolk City average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.
Court records carry 186 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Food insecurity runs 10.0% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2011, when 8.0% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 6.2% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710004900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710004900?
Census tract 51710004900 in the Crawford Bay neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710004900?
Median gross rent is $1,755/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710004900?
9.3% of residents in tract 51710004900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,684.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710004900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 4th, minority 57th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 51710004900 considered part of Crawford Bay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710004900 fall within Crawford Bay (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710004900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 186 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710004900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.16% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710004900 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710004900 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710004900 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710004900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 8% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Willard Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Denby Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Harbor Vista
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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