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Neighborhood · Norfolk, VA

Crawford Bay Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,684 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Crawford Bay is a one-tract neighborhood of Norfolk, VA, population 5,684. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. At $1,755 a month, rents sit 33% over what the rest of Norfolk commands.

This is a renter market: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.3/10. 15% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 32% of renter households. The filing record is not thin: 186 evictions logged in this tract.

Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 8.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.4% in 2016, is well off that peak.

That places it #44 of 55 neighborhoods in Norfolk. The closest comparables inside the same city are Cottage Park and Winona. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $84,848.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Crawford Bay vs Norfolk How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
32.4% +0%
Norfolk: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$1,755 +33%
Norfolk: $1,321
Average HH income
$84,848 +33%
Norfolk: $64,017
Poverty rate
9.3% -46%
Norfolk: 17.3%
Renter share
72.6% +35%
Norfolk: 53.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Crawford Bay and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Crawford Bay scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
32% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
73% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
9.3% below poverty line · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Risk score comparison

Crawford Bay vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Crawford Bay score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Crawford BayNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Crawford Bay

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51710004900 3 5,684 32% $1,755
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 34

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 40%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 4%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 57%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 66%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Crawford Bay

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 186Total filings (sum)
  • 6.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.0%Peak year (2011)
  • 4.36%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Crawford Bay

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Crawford Bay

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Crawford Bay?

Crawford Bay scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Crawford Bay compare to Norfolk overall?

Crawford Bay scores 1.1 points lower than Norfolk overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 32% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,755 vs $1,321.
Q3

What is the average rent in Crawford Bay?

Average gross rent in Crawford Bay is $1,755/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Crawford Bay residents are renters?

73% of Crawford Bay households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Norfolk). The neighborhood has 5,684 residents.
Q5

Is Crawford Bay a high social-vulnerability area?

Crawford Bay sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Crawford Bay for landlords?

Crawford Bay carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Norfolk as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Crawford Bay?

Crawford Bay has 5,568 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (21.7%), Hispanic / Latino (10.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Crawford Bay

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Norfolk

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Crawford Bay.

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