Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally

Ginter Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Richmond

Tract 51760010201 · Richmond city, VA · pop 2,159 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

How risky is the Ginter Park area of Richmond for landlords? Census tract 51760010201 scores 6.2/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #17,458 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 79% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,316 a month while the average household earns $123,611 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

2.9

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 5% Owners 76%

Tract context

Occupied units912

Renter share24.6%

SVI overall0.25

Poverty rate5.1%

Median income$123,611

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.5962, -77.4553 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ginter Park scores 2.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Richmond

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.4

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

5.1% poverty · this tract

1.3

Supply constraint

$1,316 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Richmond

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Richmond

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Richmond

5.0

How Ginter Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

48%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
40%Racial/ethnic minority
32%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
65%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ginter Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.2%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
6.1%Food insecurity
4.8%SNAP enrollment
4.2%Transit barriers
4.3%No health insurance
12.8%Frequent mental distress
24.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ginter Park

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760010201

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760010201?

Census tract 51760010201 in the Ginter Park neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51760010201?

Median gross rent is $1,316/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760010201?

5.1% of residents in tract 51760010201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,159.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760010201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 5th, minority 40th, housing 32th.

Is tract 51760010201 considered part of Ginter Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760010201 fall within Ginter Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51760010201 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51760010201 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760010201 scores 2.9/10, lower than the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 51760010201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.