Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Ginter Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Richmond
Tract 51760010402 · Richmond city, VA · pop 3,074 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 3.3/10, tract 51760010402 in the Ginter Park area of Richmond, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,074. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,511
Renter share53.9%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$76,736
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
28
th percentile
Low
Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5787, -77.4521 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ginter Park scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,025 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Ginter Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 53%Grade A
- 34%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,351Total filings over 4 yrs
- 76.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 96.9%Peak (2014)
- 501Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ginter Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.5%Food insecurity
- 8.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 29.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ginter Park
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Cost burden runs 63% here against 50.2% across Richmond City. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.4/10. At $1,025 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Richmond commands. Against the Richmond City average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points.
Court records carry 2,351 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Food insecurity runs 10.5% against 17.8% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 96.9% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 77.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760010402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760010402?
Census tract 51760010402 in the Ginter Park neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760010402?
Median gross rent is $1,025/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760010402?
9.8% of residents in tract 51760010402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,074.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760010402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 20th, minority 55th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 51760010402 considered part of Ginter Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760010402 fall within Ginter Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760010402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,351 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760010402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 76.97% of renter households, peaking at 96.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760010402 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760010402 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760010402 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51760010402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Creighton Court
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Carver
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fairmount
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Carver
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Woodstock
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
The Fan
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Washington Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
South Garden
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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