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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Ginter Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Richmond

Tract 51760010202 · Richmond city, VA · pop 2,192 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 51760010202 sits in Ginter Park in Richmond eviction risk, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. On the national scale it ranks #15,382 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,576 a month against an average household income of $66,080 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 69% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 32% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,337
Renter share69.5%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$66,080

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Ginter Park
Elevated
Within parent city
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 75 tracts In Richmond
Low
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 75 tracts In Richmond city
Low
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#612 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.5882, -77.4713 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ginter Park scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,576 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0

How Ginter Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ginter Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 010202Richmond: 4.74.7Richmondparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ginter Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ginter Park

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760010202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760010202?

Census tract 51760010202 in the Ginter Park neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51760010202?

Median gross rent is $1,576/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760010202?

6.3% of residents in tract 51760010202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,192.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760010202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 24th, minority 51th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 51760010202 considered part of Ginter Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760010202 fall within Ginter Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51760010202 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51760010202 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760010202 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 51760010202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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