Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Ginter Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond
Tract 51760010401 · Richmond city, VA · pop 2,956 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
For landlords sizing up the Ginter Park area of Richmond, census tract 51760010401 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.4/10. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 74% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $981 a month while the average household earns $85,440 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,509
Renter share39.4%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$85,440
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
37
th percentile
Low
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5881, -77.4535 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ginter Park scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$981 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Ginter Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 83%Grade B
- 15%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,450Total filings over 4 yrs
- 87.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 92.8%Peak (2014)
- 631Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ginter Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.0%Food insecurity
- 9.6%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 28.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ginter Park
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,450 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 87.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 92.8% of renter households in 2014.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760010401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760010401?
Census tract 51760010401 in the Ginter Park neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760010401?
Median gross rent is $981/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760010401?
16.2% of residents in tract 51760010401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,956.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760010401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 4th, minority 53th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 51760010401 considered part of Ginter Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760010401 fall within Ginter Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760010401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,450 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760010401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 87.01% of renter households, peaking at 92.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760010401 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760010401 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760010401 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51760010401 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Creighton Court
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fairmount
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Gilpin Court
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Carver
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Montrose Heights
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Monroe Ward
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
South Garden
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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