Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Shumway Eviction Risk: Elevated , Vancouver
Tract 53011041900 · Clark County, WA · pop 2,140 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 53011041900 sits in the Shumway area of Vancouver eviction risk, WA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. It is home to 2,140 residents. Against Clark County at 43.7%, 68% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,036
Renter share43.2%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate12.6%
Median income$85,536
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Vancouver and the region
Centroid at 45.6467, -122.6663 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shumway scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Vancouver
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
12.6% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,523 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Vancouver
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Vancouver
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Vancouver
6.5
How Shumway compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 41Total filings over 8 yrs
- 0.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.5%Peak (2012)
- 8Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 60% over the past 8 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shumway
The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Clark County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 2.6/10.
Court records carry 41 eviction filings across 8 observed years. At $1,523 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Vancouver commands.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 1.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 0.9% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $85,536.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 53011041900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53011041900?
Census tract 53011041900 in the Shumway neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53011041900?
Median gross rent is $1,523/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53011041900?
12.6% of residents in tract 53011041900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,140.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53011041900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 44th, minority 43th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 53011041900 considered part of Shumway?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53011041900 fall within Shumway (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53011041900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 41 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 53011041900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.95% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53011041900 compare to Vancouver overall?
Tract 53011041900 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Vancouver at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vancouver eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Vancouver
Top eight tracts in Vancouver ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WA
53011041005
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Meadow Homes
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Fourth Plain Village
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Bagley Downs
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Vancouver Mall
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Cascade Highlands
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Hough
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Ogden
8
/ 10 · High
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