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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

McMurray Circle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Nashville

Tract 47037019004 · Davidson County, TN · pop 4,673 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 47037019004 covers part of the McMurray Circle area of Nashville, TN, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,673. Set annual rent against average income of $45,559 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 27% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,536
Renter share52.8%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate26.4%
Median income$45,559

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In McMurray Circle
Very Low
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 166 tracts In Nashville
Very High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 174 tracts In Davidson County
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#178 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.0699, -86.7141 · click any tract to drill in

Why McMurray Circle scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
26.4% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,313 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1

How McMurray Circle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McMurray Circle risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0190043.8Nashvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 406Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.72×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McMurray Circle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McMurray Circle

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.7/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 27.8% against 11.3% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Disability prevalence runs 44.5% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.3 points above the Davidson County average of 3.9.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. At $1,313 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Nashville commands. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 8.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037019004

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037019004?

Census tract 47037019004 in the McMurray Circle neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47037019004?

Median gross rent is $1,313/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037019004?

26.4% of residents in tract 47037019004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,673.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037019004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 62th, minority 85th, housing 91th.
Q5

Is tract 47037019004 considered part of McMurray Circle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037019004 fall within McMurray Circle (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47037019004 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47037019004 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037019004 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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