The Gulch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Nashville

77% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Davidson County average of 46.0%. This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $57,574, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.7/10. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Davidson County average of 3.9.

At $1,902 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of Nashville commands. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Nashville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.7/10. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.