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Neighborhood · San Antonio, TX

Chestnut Springs Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,667 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3.9–3.9

Chestnut Springs is a one-tract neighborhood of San Antonio, TX and houses 2,667 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.9/10, placing it in the Lower tier. 59% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the San Antonio rate of 32.0%.

100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Severe burden reaches 31%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.1/10. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 3/10.

At $1,218 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of San Antonio commands. That places it #39 of 88 neighborhoods in San Antonio.

For a like-for-like read, Middleton and Elm Creek score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $46,759.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Chestnut Springs vs San Antonio How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.9% +84%
San Antonio: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$1,218 -8%
San Antonio: $1,324
Average HH income
$46,759 -26%
San Antonio: $62,917
Poverty rate
8.4% -51%
San Antonio: 17.1%
Renter share
100.0% +109%
San Antonio: 47.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chestnut Springs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.9–3.9

Why Chestnut Springs scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
100% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
8.4% below poverty line · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Chestnut Springs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Chestnut Springs score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.9Chestnut SpringsNeighborhood3.8Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Chestnut Springs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48029171926 3.9 2,667 59% $1,218
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 58

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 82%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 28%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 26%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Chestnut Springs

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Chestnut Springs?

Chestnut Springs scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Chestnut Springs compare to San Antonio overall?

Chestnut Springs scores 0.1 points higher than San Antonio overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,218 vs $1,324.
Q3

What is the average rent in Chestnut Springs?

Average gross rent in Chestnut Springs is $1,218/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Chestnut Springs residents are renters?

100% of Chestnut Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in San Antonio). The neighborhood has 2,667 residents.
Q5

Is Chestnut Springs a high social-vulnerability area?

Chestnut Springs sits in the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Chestnut Springs for landlords?

Chestnut Springs carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Antonio as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Chestnut Springs?

Chestnut Springs has 2,849 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (30.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (30.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Chestnut Springs

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Antonio

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Chestnut Springs.

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