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Gainesville, TX Eviction Risk Score Cooke County · Texas · Population 17,883 · Updated

5.0 Moderate
★★★ High confidence
20.0%Tenant-law probabilityi
$938–3,679Typical eviction costi
26 daysTypical timelinei
3.77%Eviction filing ratei
$1,174HUD 2BR FMR 2025i
$1,038Median gross renti
27.7%Rent burdeni
42.4%Rentersi

Sub-score breakdown

Local political climate
2.6
GOP margin +65.2% in 2020
Regional political climate
2.6
GOP margin +65.2% in 2020
State political climate
1.5
Economic stress
8.1
19.9% poverty · 8.3% unemployed
Supply constraint
7.5
$1,038 median rent · 42.4% renters
Rent-control risk
6.3
27.7% rent burden
Eviction process difficulty
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
8.5
42.4% renters
Housing court bias
7.1
Eviction filing rate (ground truth)
5.9
3.77 filings per 100 renter households (county, latest year)
Voucher gap (market vs HUD FMR)
0.0
Market rent -11.6% vs HUD 2BR FMR ($1,174)

Sub-scores are national percentile rankings (1 = most landlord-friendly, 10 = most tenant-protective) derived from ACS 2023 5-year data, 2020 county presidential margin, and state law weighting. Source: ACS 2023 5-year + Gazetteer 2024.

Location & regional heat

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About eviction risk in Gainesville, TX

Gainesville, TX has an eviction risk score of 5.0 out of 10, placing it in the moderate-risk tier for landlords operating in Cooke County and the state of Texas. The score combines local political climate, court disposition patterns, cost-of-eviction estimates, tenant organizing strength, and the likelihood of new tenant-protective legislation in the next legislative cycle.

Census ACS 2023 5-year estimates show median gross rent as a percentage of household income is 27.7% — a core driver of eviction filings, because households above 30% of income on rent are statistically more likely to miss a payment after any income shock. Median gross rent in Gainesville is $1,038/month. About 42.4% of occupied units here are renter-occupied.

Economic stress: poverty rate 19.9%, unemployment 8.3%. Higher values correlate with higher eviction filing rates and longer court timelines.

Political climate: In 2020, Cooke County voted Republican by 65.2 points — classified as strongly landlord-leaning for purposes of rent-control or just-cause expansion risk.

What this score means for landlords

At 5.0/10, Gainesville is an elevated-risk environment. Tenant protections are stronger than the national median. Use proactive screening, document notices in writing, and understand your specific just-cause and rent-cap exposure before raising rent or terminating a tenancy.

Nearby Cities — Eviction Risk Comparison

City Distance Population Risk score
Callisburg, TX 8.7 mi 459 3.9
Lake Kiowa, TX 9.1 mi 2,476 2.7
Myra, TX 9.6 mi 263 2.8
Thackerville, OK 10.3 mi 461 4.1
Valley View, TX 11.2 mi 702 3.7
Road Runner, TX 11.3 mi 1,021 4.4
Muenster, TX 13.1 mi 1,329 4.4
Whitesboro, TX 14.1 mi 4,173 4.7

Landlord Guides & Research Tools

Deepen your research with these guides. The metrics powering this score feed directly into each breakdown.

Landlord Guides for Texas

Eviction Costs — Texas →
Filing fees, attorney fees, lost rent, sheriff lockout
Eviction Process — Texas →
Step-by-step timeline, notices, statute cites
Rent Control — Texas →
Statewide caps, local ordinances, just-cause
Tenant Screening — Texas →
5-point protocol, legal rules, protected classes
Tenant Protections — Texas →
Just cause, retaliation, habitability, entry