Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Carrollton Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121021615 · Denton, TX · pop 4,608 · 96% of tract blocks fall in Carrollton
With a score of 3.3/10, tract 48121021615 in Carrollton, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. 22% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Denton County average of 45.5%.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,545
Renter share21.8%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$106,779
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
National
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrollton and the region
Centroid at 32.9954, -96.8794 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carrollton scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carrollton
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,029 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollton
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollton
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollton
2.5
How Carrollton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 171Total filings over 13 yrs
- 6.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.9%Peak (2015)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 62Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.72×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carrollton
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Average gross rent is $2,029, 17% above the Carrollton average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 171 filings here across 13 tracked years.
Adults with no health insurance runs 19.7% against 11.3% nationally. The worst year on record was 2015, when 9.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 6.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.7/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021615
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021615?
Census tract 48121021615 in Carrollton scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021615?
Median gross rent is $2,029/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021615?
8.7% of residents in tract 48121021615 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,608.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021615?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 65th, minority 78th, housing 11th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021615?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 171 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021615 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.95% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021615 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48121021615 compare to Carrollton overall?
Tract 48121021615 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Carrollton at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrollton
Top eight tracts in Carrollton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48113013717
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021613
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
New Koreatown
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
New Koreatown
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021646
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Addison Circle
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021630
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Kensington Place
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Related