Census Tract · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Carrollton Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121021646 ·
Denton, TX · pop 5,896
Tract 48121021646 sits in Carrollton eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.5/10. Population here is 5,896. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%Stable renters 45%Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units2,904
Renter share77.4%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$88,611
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
86th percentile
#5 of 30 tracts In Carrollton
High
Within county
55th percentile
#88 of 193 tracts In Denton
Moderate
Within state
48th percentile
#3,589 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
National
31th percentile
#57,812 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrollton and the region
Centroid at 33.0271, -96.9375 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carrollton scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carrollton
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,797 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollton
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollton
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollton
2.5
How Carrollton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
25%Socioeconomic
19%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
51%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
1,437Total filings 2020-21
18.7Avg monthly (observed)
23.5Pre-pandemic baseline
0.79×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10.
13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.9/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 42% of renters. It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,797, close to the Carrollton average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $88,611.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021646
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021646?
Census tract 48121021646 in Carrollton scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021646?
Median gross rent is $1,797/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021646?
6.0% of residents in tract 48121021646 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,896.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021646?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 19th, minority 69th, housing 51th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021646 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121021646 compare to Carrollton overall?
Tract 48121021646 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Carrollton at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrollton
Top eight tracts in Carrollton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.