Neighborhood · Denton, TX

Denton Square Eviction Risk: Moderate

8 census tracts · pop 33,925 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 4.7–5.2

Denton Square is a 8-tract neighborhood of Denton, TX and houses 33,925 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.1/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 60% against 35.8% citywide, putting Denton Square 24.4% over its own city.

The severe-burden share is 33%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. 74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

Set annual rent against average household income of $46,028 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.8/10. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Filings are well documented here: 4,463 across 7 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 15.8% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,269, 11% below the Denton average of $1,420.

Judgments average 2.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Its 8 tracts score within 0.5 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 5.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

8 tracts · population-weighted

Denton Square vs Denton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

60.2% +68%

Denton: 35.8%

Average gross rent

$1,269 -11%

Denton: $1,420

Average HH income

$46,028 -38%

Denton: $73,719

Poverty rate

25.2% +58%

Denton: 15.9%

Renter share

74.1% +48%

Denton: 50.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Denton Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 8 tracts span score 4.7–5.2

Why Denton Square scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

60% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

74% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

25.2% below poverty line · Range 1.7–9.7 across tracts

6.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.3 across tracts

1.8

Risk score comparison

Denton Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Denton Square?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.5 points from 4.7 to 5.2. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 4.9 4.7

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

8 tracts in Denton Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
48121021000	5.2	6,360	67%	$1,245
48121020601	5.2	5,076	62%	$1,129
48121021301	5.2	4,335	65%	$1,242
48121020403	5.2	3,876	58%	$1,564
48121020700	5.2	3,510	65%	$1,048
48121021100	5.2	3,028	56%	$1,115
48121021202	4.9	4,196	56%	$1,113
48121020603	4.7	3,544	46%	$1,758

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 66

Pop-weighted across 8 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 85%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 21%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 62%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 61%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Denton Square

Aggregated across 7 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

4,463Total filings (sum)
4.28%Avg annual filing rate
15.8%Peak year (2016)
4.43%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

2,866Total filings 2020-21
4.7Avg monthly observed
4.1Pre-pandemic baseline
1.21×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth, TX).

Frequently asked

About Denton Square

What is the eviction-risk score for Denton Square?

Denton Square scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 8 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Denton Square compare to Denton overall?

Denton Square scores 1.3 points higher than Denton overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,269 vs $1,420.

What is the average rent in Denton Square?

Average gross rent in Denton eviction risk Square is $1,269/month (pop-weighted across 8 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Denton Square residents are renters?

74% of Denton Square households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Denton). The neighborhood has 33,925 residents.

Is Denton Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Denton Square sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Denton Square have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Denton Square is census tract 48121021000 (score 5.2/10). Across the 8 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 5.2, a spread of 0.5 points.

How safe is Denton Square for landlords?

Denton eviction risk Square carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 8 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Denton as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Denton Square?

Denton Square has 34,518 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50.1%), Hispanic / Latino (23.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Denton Square

3 Provence 2 tracts · pop 7,071 3.7 Terrace Oaks Phase 1 3 tracts · pop 13,014 3.7 Millenium Place 2 tracts · pop 7,176 3 Highland Forest Addition 2 tracts · pop 7,078 3.9 Golden Park Place 7 tracts · pop 33,269 5.1 Normandy Homes 3 tracts · pop 13,777

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Denton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Denton Square.

5.1 Brentwood Place 1 tracts · pop 6,737

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