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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Denton Square Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48121020603 · Denton, TX · pop 3,544 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 48121020603 covers part of the Denton Square area of Denton, TX, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,544 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 18% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,138
Renter share33.3%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$73,412

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 8 tracts In Denton Square
Very Low
Within parent city
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#20 of 34 tracts In Denton
Moderate
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 193 tracts In Denton
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#1,569 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Denton and the region

Centroid at 33.2222, -97.1152 · click any tract to drill in

Why Denton Square scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,758 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5

How Denton Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Denton Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 020603Denton: 3.83.8Dentonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 142Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.79×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-11-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-09-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-11-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2022-11-01: 5 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 5 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-10-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2024-11-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-09-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2026-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Denton Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Denton Square

Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. Average gross rent is $1,758, 24% above the Denton average. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.2% against 11.3% nationally.

It sits 0.9 points above the Denton County average of 3.8. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $73,412.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121020603

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020603?

Census tract 48121020603 in the Denton Square neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48121020603?

Median gross rent is $1,758/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020603?

8.0% of residents in tract 48121020603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,544.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 66th, minority 81th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 48121020603 considered part of Denton Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121020603 fall within Denton Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48121020603 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48121020603 compare to Denton overall?

Tract 48121020603 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Denton

Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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