1 census tracts · pop 5,567 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Chapel Hill Phase II is a one-tract neighborhood of Highland Village, TX, population 5,567. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 60% against 38.3% citywide, putting Chapel Hill Phase II 21.2% over its own city.
Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. The voucher gap is 25.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10. Court records for this tract carry 40 eviction filings. The severe-burden share is 9%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 2.5% of renter households. That places it #1 of 4 neighborhoods in Highland Village. Judgments average 2.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
At 17% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Bandera and Highland Hills North score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.
One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Chapel Hill Phase II vs Highland VillageHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport38%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Chapel Hill Phase II
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
40Total filings (sum)
4.63%Avg annual filing rate
2.5%Peak year (2016)
2.45%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
37Total filings 2020-21
0.5Avg monthly observed
0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
1.12×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth, TX).
Frequently asked
About Chapel Hill Phase II
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Chapel Hill Phase II?
Chapel Hill Phase II scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Chapel Hill Phase II compare to Highland Village overall?
Chapel Hill Phase II scores 0.2 points lower than Highland Village overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 38% citywide. Average rent: $2,371 vs $2,429.
Q3
What is the average rent in Chapel Hill Phase II?
Average gross rent in Chapel Hill Phase II is $2,371/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Chapel Hill Phase II residents are renters?
17% of Chapel Hill Phase II households are renter-occupied (vs 8% in Highland Village). The neighborhood has 5,567 residents.
Q5
Is Chapel Hill Phase II a high social-vulnerability area?
Chapel Hill Phase II sits in the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Chapel Hill Phase II for landlords?
Chapel Hill Phase II carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Highland Village as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Chapel Hill Phase II?
Chapel Hill Phase II has 5,624 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74.3%), Hispanic / Latino (13.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
