Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Kern Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , El Paso
Tract 48141002202 · El Paso, TX · pop 3,958 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 48141002202 sits in the Kern Place area of El Paso eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. Population here is 3,958. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,846
Renter share81.5%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate32.1%
Median income$29,808
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across El Paso and the region
Centroid at 31.7704, -106.4841 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kern Place scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from El Paso
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.1% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$663 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Paso
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Paso
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Paso
3.5
How Kern Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 100%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 49%Grade B
- 32%Grade C
- 15%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 25Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.8%Peak (2012)
- 25Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Kern Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kern Place
Adults with no health insurance runs 34.5% against 11.3% nationally. At $663 a month, rents run 38% under what the rest of El Paso commands.
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.
This is renter territory: 82% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.0 points above the El Paso County average of 3.9.
Cost burden runs 51% here against 45.7% across El Paso County. Court records carry 25 eviction filings across 1 observed years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 1.8% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for El Paso. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48141002202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48141002202?
Census tract 48141002202 in the Kern Place neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48141002202?
Median gross rent is $663/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48141002202?
32.1% of residents in tract 48141002202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,958.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48141002202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 99th, minority 89th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 48141002202 considered part of Kern Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48141002202 fall within Kern Place (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48141002202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 48141002202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.78% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 48141002202 compare to El Paso overall?
Tract 48141002202 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of El Paso at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Paso eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 48141002202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 15% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in El Paso
Top eight tracts in El Paso ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48141000108
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141003602
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Angel's Triangle
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141002300
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141003701
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141003702
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141000800
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141004106
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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