Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally

Kern Place Eviction Risk: Elevated , El Paso

Tract 48141002202 · El Paso, TX · pop 3,958 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 48141002202 in the Kern Place neighborhood of El Paso ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,958 residents. That is riskier than roughly 52% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $663 a month while the average household earns $29,808 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 82% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 40% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,846
Renter share81.5%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate32.1%
Median income$29,808

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Kern Place
Very High
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 149 tracts In El Paso
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 188 tracts In El Paso
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#86 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across El Paso and the region

Centroid at 31.7704, -106.4841 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kern Place scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from El Paso
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.1% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$663 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Paso
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Paso
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Paso
3.5

How Kern Place compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kern Place risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.56.5This tracttract 002202El Paso: 3.13.1El Pasoparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 25Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.8%Peak (2012)
  • 25Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kern Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kern Place

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from El Paso eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the El Paso County average of 5.0 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 25 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 1.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.8% of renter households in 2012.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48141002202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48141002202?

Census tract 48141002202 in the Kern Place neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48141002202?

Median gross rent is $663/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48141002202?

32.1% of residents in tract 48141002202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,958.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48141002202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 99th, minority 89th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 48141002202 considered part of Kern Place?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48141002202 fall within Kern Place (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48141002202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 48141002202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.78% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48141002202 compare to El Paso overall?

Tract 48141002202 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of El Paso at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Paso eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48141002202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 15% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in El Paso

Top eight tracts in El Paso ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related