Country Briar Eviction Risk: Lower

At $1,686 a month, rents sit 39% over what the rest of Pasadena commands. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 27%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10. Court records for this tract carry 160 eviction filings. Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2010 at 7.4% of renter households. The voucher gap is 10.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The most recent observed rate, 4.1% in 2015, is well off that peak.

Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Pasadena, it ranks #5 by risk, the lower third. Only 27% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a like-for-like read, River Oaks and Bowling Green score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.