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Neighborhood · Mission, TX

Fairview Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 15,135 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 3.4–4.6

Fairview is a 3-tract neighborhood of Mission, TX, population 15,135. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4/10, in the Moderate tier. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 25% of renter households.

Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 27%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.4 to 4.6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. At $774 a month, rents sit 19% under what the rest of Mission commands. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.8/10.

Severe burden reaches 11%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Mission, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Ariel Hinojosa Colonia and Randolph Barnett Number 1 Colonia. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Against average income of $54,038, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Fairview vs Mission How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
25.3% -8%
Mission: 27.6%
Average gross rent
$774 -19%
Mission: $950
Average HH income
$54,038 -11%
Mission: $60,813
Poverty rate
27.2% +54%
Mission: 17.7%
Renter share
28.6% 0%
Mission: 28.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fairview and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.4–4.6

Why Fairview scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Rent control risk
25% of income on rent · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
29% renter households · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Economic stress
27.2% below poverty line · Range 5.9–8.2 across tracts
6.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–3.1 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

Fairview vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fairview score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.0FairviewNeighborhood3.7Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Fairview?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 3.4 to 4.6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Fairview

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48215020205 4.6 5,362 27% $802
48215020210 4.1 4,287 27% $775
48215020307 3.4 5,486 22% $745
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 92

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 93%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 95%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 95%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 61%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Fairview

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fairview?

Fairview scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fairview compare to Mission overall?

Fairview scores 0.3 points higher than Mission overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 25% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $774 vs $950.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fairview?

Average gross rent in Fairview is $774/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fairview residents are renters?

29% of Fairview households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Mission). The neighborhood has 15,135 residents.
Q5

Is Fairview a high social-vulnerability area?

Fairview sits in the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Fairview have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Fairview is census tract 48215020205 (score 4.6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 4.6, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Fairview for landlords?

Fairview carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mission as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Fairview?

Fairview has 15,143 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (93.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (4.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (1.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fairview

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mission

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fairview.

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