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Neighborhood · Mission, TX

Montecruz Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,468 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Montecruz maps to a single census tract in Mission, TX, population 5,468. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10.

Against a Mission baseline of 27.6%, 35% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Average gross rent is $1,132, 19% above the Mission average of $950. The voucher gap is 14.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

8% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. That places it #5 of 7 neighborhoods in Mission. At 18% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Orchards at Shary Road and Shary Forest score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Montecruz vs Mission How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
35.3% +28%
Mission: 27.6%
Average gross rent
$1,132 +19%
Mission: $950
Average HH income
$71,757 +18%
Mission: $60,813
Poverty rate
13.4% -24%
Mission: 17.7%
Renter share
17.6% -38%
Mission: 28.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Montecruz and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Montecruz scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Rent control risk
35% of income on rent · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Economic stress
13.4% below poverty line · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Risk score comparison

Montecruz vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Montecruz score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0MontecruzNeighborhood3.7Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Montecruz

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48215020211 3 5,468 35% $1,132
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 88

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 97%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 82%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 100%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Montecruz

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Montecruz?

Montecruz scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Montecruz compare to Mission overall?

Montecruz scores 0.7 points lower than Mission overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,132 vs $950.
Q3

What is the average rent in Montecruz?

Average gross rent in Montecruz is $1,132/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Montecruz residents are renters?

18% of Montecruz households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Mission). The neighborhood has 5,468 residents.
Q5

Is Montecruz a high social-vulnerability area?

Montecruz sits in the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Montecruz for landlords?

Montecruz carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mission as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Montecruz?

Montecruz has 5,551 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (99.6%), Other / Multiracial (0.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (0%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Montecruz

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mission

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Montecruz.

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