Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Twin Creeks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mansfield
Tract 48439111307 · Tarrant, TX · pop 3,130 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 48439111307 sits in the Twin Creeks area of Mansfield eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.2/10.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,168
Renter share72.9%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate14.8%
Median income$64,123
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mansfield and the region
Centroid at 32.5847, -97.1458 · click any tract to drill in
Why Twin Creeks scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mansfield
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.8% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,612 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mansfield
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mansfield
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mansfield
5.6
How Twin Creeks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,243Total filings over 17 yrs
- 22.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 94.3%Peak (2009)
- 81Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 523% over the past 17 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 487Total filings 2020-21
- 6.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 8.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.78×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Twin Creeks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Twin Creeks
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Cost burden runs 58% here against 50.2% across Tarrant County. At $1,612 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Mansfield commands. It sits 0.9 points above the Tarrant County average of 3.8.
The filing record is not thin: 1,243 evictions over 17 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2009 at 94.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 22.4% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48439111307
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48439111307?
Census tract 48439111307 in the Twin Creeks neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48439111307?
Median gross rent is $1,612/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48439111307?
14.8% of residents in tract 48439111307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,130.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48439111307?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 49th, minority 74th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 48439111307 considered part of Twin Creeks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48439111307 fall within Twin Creeks (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48439111307?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,243 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 48439111307 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.36% of renter households, peaking at 94.3% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48439111307 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.78× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48439111307 compare to Mansfield overall?
Tract 48439111307 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Mansfield at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mansfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mansfield
Top eight tracts in Mansfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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