Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally
Carmel Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Hutto
Tract 48491020816 · Williamson, TX · pop 5,859 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 48491020816, home to 5,859 residents in the Carmel Creek area of Hutto, scores 4.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 19% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,610 a month while the average household earns $99,768 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,603
Renter share38.2%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate1.6%
Median income$99,768
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hutto and the region
Centroid at 30.5206, -97.5842 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carmel Creek scores 1.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Hutto
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,610 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hutto
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hutto
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hutto
3.7
How Carmel Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carmel Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carmel Creek
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 4.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hutto, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Williamson County average of 4.8 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48491020816
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48491020816?
Census tract 48491020816 in the Carmel Creek neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48491020816?
Median gross rent is $1,610/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48491020816?
1.6% of residents in tract 48491020816 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,859.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48491020816?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 31th, minority 62th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 48491020816 considered part of Carmel Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48491020816 fall within Carmel Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48491020816 compare to Hutto overall?
Tract 48491020816 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Hutto at 2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hutto; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hutto
Top eight tracts in Hutto ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48491020812
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48491020813
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48491020819
1.5
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48491020820
1.5
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
Carmel Creek
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
Carmel Creek
1.3
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48491020817
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Related