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Neighborhood · Round Rock, TX

Turtle Creek Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 7,057 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.8–4.8

Turtle Creek Village is a one-tract neighborhood of Round Rock, TX, population 7,057. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.8/10, Moderate tier. Against a Round Rock baseline of 30.4%, 47% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10. Average gross rent is $1,634, 7% below the Round Rock average of $1,763. Among the 21 mapped neighborhoods of Round Rock, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

For a like-for-like read, Mercer and Spring Trails score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $62,604.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Turtle Creek Village vs Round Rock How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.6% +53%
Round Rock: 30.4%
Average gross rent
$1,634 -7%
Round Rock: $1,763
Average HH income
$62,604 -36%
Round Rock: $97,187
Poverty rate
19.6% +156%
Round Rock: 7.7%
Renter share
66.2% +49%
Round Rock: 44.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Turtle Creek Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.8–4.8

Why Turtle Creek Village scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
66% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
19.6% below poverty line · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

Turtle Creek Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Turtle Creek Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.8Turtle Creek VillaNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Turtle Creek Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48491020704 4.8 7,057 47% $1,634
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 82%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 86%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 33%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Turtle Creek Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Turtle Creek Village?

Turtle Creek Village scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Turtle Creek Village compare to Round Rock overall?

Turtle Creek Village scores 1.4 points higher than Round Rock overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,634 vs $1,763.
Q3

What is the average rent in Turtle Creek Village?

Average gross rent in Turtle Creek Village is $1,634/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Turtle Creek Village residents are renters?

66% of Turtle Creek Village households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Round Rock). The neighborhood has 7,057 residents.
Q5

Is Turtle Creek Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Turtle Creek Village sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Turtle Creek Village for landlords?

Turtle Creek Village carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Round Rock as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Turtle Creek Village?

Turtle Creek Village has 6,309 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (32.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (29%), White (non-Hispanic) (27.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Turtle Creek Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Round Rock

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Turtle Creek Village.

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