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Neighborhood · Georgetown, TX

Estrella Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 9,110 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4–5.2

Estrella takes in 2 census tracts of Georgetown, TX, population 9,110. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 56% against 33.0% citywide, putting Estrella 22.6% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 37%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.5/10.

At $2,209 a month, rents sit 23% over what the rest of Georgetown commands. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 4 to 5.2. A 1.2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10.

The voucher gap is 13.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Among the 16 mapped neighborhoods of Georgetown, it ranks #2 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Jennings Branch and Texas Traditions.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Estrella vs Georgetown How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.6% +68%
Georgetown: 33.0%
Average gross rent
$2,209 +23%
Georgetown: $1,795
Average HH income
$78,242 -15%
Georgetown: $91,857
Poverty rate
6.0% -20%
Georgetown: 7.5%
Renter share
47.2% +55%
Georgetown: 30.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Estrella and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4–5.2

Why Estrella scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
47% renter households · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
6.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.8 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–10.0 across tracts
5.3
Risk score comparison

Estrella vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Estrella score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.8EstrellaNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Estrella

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48491020114 5.2 5,833 48% $1,483
48491020108 4 3,277 69% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 64

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 58%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 70%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 42%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 64%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Estrella

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Estrella?

Estrella scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Estrella compare to Georgetown overall?

Estrella scores 0.8 points higher than Georgetown overall (4/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,209 vs $1,795.
Q3

What is the average rent in Estrella?

Average gross rent in Estrella is $2,209/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Estrella residents are renters?

47% of Estrella households are renter-occupied (vs 31% in Georgetown). The neighborhood has 9,110 residents.
Q5

Is Estrella a high social-vulnerability area?

Estrella sits in the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Estrella have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Estrella is census tract 48491020114 (score 5.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 5.2, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Estrella for landlords?

Estrella carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Georgetown as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Estrella?

Estrella has 9,312 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (68.3%), Hispanic / Latino (16.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Estrella

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Georgetown

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Estrella.

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