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Middlebury, Vermont eviction risk overview
City brief · 7,220 residents

Middlebury, VT Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Addison County · Population 7,220

In 2026
Risk score
5
MODERATE

74th percentile, Vermont.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.3 Average3.5 Now5
6.1 2.3 1976 · score 2.4 1977 · score 2.4 1978 · score 2.3 1979 · score 2.3 1980 · score 2.4 1981 · score 2.4 1982 · score 2.4 1983 · score 2.4 1984 · score 2.3 1985 · score 2.3 1986 · score 2.3 1987 · score 2.6 1988 · score 2.6 1989 · score 2.6 1990 · score 2.7 1991 · score 2.8 1992 · score 2.9 1993 · score 2.9 1994 · score 2.9 1995 · score 2.9 1996 · score 3.2 1997 · score 3.2 1998 · score 3.2 1999 · score 3.2 2000 · score 3.2 2001 · score 3.2 2002 · score 3.2 2003 · score 3.2 2004 · score 3.4 2005 · score 3.4 2006 · score 3.5 2007 · score 3.5 2008 · score 4.2 2009 · score 4.4 2010 · score 4.5 2011 · score 4.5 2012 · score 4.4 2013 · score 4.5 2014 · score 4.5 2015 · score 4.5 2016 · score 4.5 2017 · score 4.5 2018 · score 4.4 2019 · score 4.4 2020 · score 6.0 2021 · score 6.1 2022 · score 5.2 2023 · score 4.9 2024 · score 5.1 2025 · score 5.0 2026 · score 5.0

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 7.3 Regional 7.3 State 4.6 Economic 6.3 Supply 8.0 Rent Control 7.1 Eviction 4.6 Tenant 8.4 Housing 6.8 5 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +35.9% (2024)
    7.3
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    7.3
  3. State political climate
    Vermont legislature & governorship
    4.6
  4. Economic stress
    13.8% poverty · 4.5% unemp.
    6.3
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,201 average · 43.2% renters
    8.0
  6. Rent Control risk
    32.7% of income on rent
    7.1
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    89 days filing → judgment
    4.6
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    43.2% renters
    8.4
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    6.8
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middlebury and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Middlebury compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Addison County
High
#2 of 7 cities
Rank in county, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 cities in Addison County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Vermont
Elevated
#51 of 180 cities
Rank in state, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#51 of 180 cities in Vermont for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Middlebury risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Middlebury: 5.05.0MiddleburyThis cityCounty: 4.94.9Countyavg in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 5/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+2.6 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 89d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,201/mo. A contested eviction takes 89 days and costs $3,684–$7,662 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 43.2%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 7,220 residents, 43.2% rent. 33% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 13.8% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 7.3
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 7.3 and 7.3 (Dem margin +35.9% (2024)). State climate at 4.6, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 4.6
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 4.6/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 4.6, housing court bias 6.8, rent-control risk 7.1. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-0.4 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 6.3
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 6.3. Supply constraint: 8. The numbers behind those: 13.8% poverty, 4.5% unemployment, 33% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Middlebury sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Worcester, MA · 184d · ~$19.8k all-in ($108/day) · score 6.4 Worcester Springfield, MA · 191d · ~$20.6k all-in ($108/day) · score 6.7 Springfield Lowell, MA · 198d · ~$19.9k all-in ($101/day) · score 6.1 Lowell Manchester, NH · 57d · ~$4.6k all-in ($81/day) · score 3.7 Manchester Albany, NY · 431d · ~$28.5k all-in ($66/day) · score 9.8 Albany Nashua, NH · 62d · ~$4.7k all-in ($76/day) · score 3.8 Nashua Lawrence, MA · 188d · ~$17.9k all-in ($95/day) · score 6.2 Lawrence Framingham, MA · 189d · ~$20.6k all-in ($109/day) · score 5.7 Framingham Schenectady, NY · 420d · ~$26.0k all-in ($62/day) · score 8.7 Schenectady Haverhill, MA · 186d · ~$22.5k all-in ($121/day) · score 5.9 Haverhill Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Middlebury
Middlebury · 89d · ~$5.7k all-in ($64/day) · score 5 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Middlebury, VT

Landlording in Middlebury, Vermont, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 5/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Middlebury is a city of 7,220 residents where 43.2% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 32.7% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,201/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Middlebury eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 4.6/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Middlebury closes 89 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Middlebury's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 6.8/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Middlebury runs $3,684 to $7,662 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 89 days of typical timeline and $1,201/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 8.4/10 in Middlebury, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (7.1/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Vermont, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Middlebury: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Vermont's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $7,662 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Middlebury

Trap · 7.1/10
Comparative benchmarking matters in markets like this. Middlebury's 5.4/10 is near the Vermont state average. Rent-control-risk sub-score: 7.1/10. See the nearby cities grid below for direct A-vs-B comparison.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Middlebury for any reason?

No, not exactly. While Vermont doesn't have a statewide "just-cause" eviction requirement for ending a lease at its term, you must still follow proper notice periods (e.g., 60 days for no-cause termination of a month-to-month lease). You cannot evict for discriminatory reasons, as retaliation, or for violating a lease term that isn't clearly stated in your agreement. Always have a legitimate, non-discriminatory reason.

Q2

What if my tenant has a Section 8 voucher? Can I refuse to rent to them?

No. Vermont has statewide source-of-income protection. This means you cannot refuse to rent to a tenant solely because they use a Section 8 voucher or any other legal source of income to pay rent. You must treat them the same as any other applicant, applying your standard screening criteria.

Q3

How long do I have to return a security deposit in Middlebury?

You must return the security deposit to your tenant within 14 days after they move out and provide you with a forwarding address. If you withhold any portion, you must provide an itemized list of deductions for damages or unpaid rent. Failure to meet this deadline or provide proper documentation can result in penalties, including the tenant suing for double the amount withheld.

Q4

Can I charge a late fee if the rent is a few days late?

Yes, provided your lease clearly states the late fee amount and when it applies. Vermont law allows for reasonable late fees. Ensure your lease specifies the exact date rent is due, the grace period (if any), and the specific late fee amount. Don't try to charge excessive late fees; a court could deem them unenforceable.

Q5

What's the best way to prevent an eviction in Middlebury?

Thorough tenant screening is your absolute best defense. Verify income, check references, and conduct background checks. A clear, legally compliant lease agreement also helps. Beyond that, open communication, addressing maintenance issues promptly, and being firm but fair with rent collection can prevent many situations from escalating to eviction. Early intervention is key.

Q6

Do I need a lawyer for an eviction in Middlebury?

While you can represent yourself, it's highly recommended to consult with or hire an attorney for an eviction in Vermont. The process has specific legal requirements, notice periods, and court procedures that can be complex. Mistakes can lead to significant delays, added costs, or even dismissal of your case. Given the typical 89-day timeline and $3,684-$7,662 cost range, legal expertise can save you time and money.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5/10 places Middlebury in the 74th percentile of Vermont cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.