5 census tracts · pop 12,107 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10
· range 5.5–6.5
Virginia Square spans 5 census tracts of Arlington, VA and houses 12,107 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6/10, in the Elevated tier. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.
Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 2.4/10. 15% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. 32% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Arlington rate of 26.5%.
Scores across the 5 constituent tracts range from 5.5 to 6.5. A 1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Disability prevalence reaches 17.5% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.
Filings are well documented here: 31 across 2 observed tracts. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. 3.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The voucher gap is 12.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,595, 12% above the Arlington average of $2,322. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 5.6% of renter households.
That places it #14 of 39 neighborhoods in Arlington. Judgments average 0.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
6
Elevated
5 tracts · population-weighted
Virginia Square vs ArlingtonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority50%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport56%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Virginia Square
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
31Total filings (sum)
2.25%Avg annual filing rate
5.6%Peak year (2016)
2.25%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Virginia Square
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
5.6%Housing insecurity
3.5%Utility shutoff threat
5.5%Food insecurity
3.4%SNAP enrollment
5.0%No health insurance
17.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Virginia Square
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Virginia Square?
Virginia Square scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Virginia Square compare to Arlington overall?
Virginia Square scores 0.0 points higher than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 32% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,595 vs $2,322.
Q3
What is the average rent in Virginia Square?
Average gross rent in Virginia eviction laws Square is $2,595/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Virginia Square residents are renters?
75% of Virginia Square households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 12,107 residents.
Q5
Is Virginia Square a high social-vulnerability area?
Virginia Square sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Virginia Square have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Virginia Square is census tract 51013101407 (score 6.5/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.5 to 6.5, a spread of 1 points.
Q7
How safe is Virginia Square for landlords?
Virginia eviction laws Square carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Virginia Square?
Virginia Square has 12,524 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.5%), Hispanic / Latino (10.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
