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Neighborhood · Arlington, VA

Brandon Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 11,782 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.4–5.8

Brandon Village takes in 4 census tracts of Arlington, VA and houses 11,782 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.5/10, in the Moderate tier. 46% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Arlington rate of 26.5%.

The voucher gap is 32.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. 27% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.2/10. Average gross rent is $3,070, 32% above the Arlington average of $2,322.

On the high side is supply constraint at 8.2/10. Food insecurity affects 5.4% of adults, 12.4 points below the national rate.

Disability prevalence reaches 18.2% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. Court records carry 18 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 2.4% of renter households.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. That places it #20 of 39 neighborhoods in Arlington.

Judgments average 1.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

With little internal variation, 5.5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Brandon Village vs Arlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.4% +75%
Arlington: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$3,070 +32%
Arlington: $2,322
Average HH income
$171,338 +22%
Arlington: $140,160
Poverty rate
4.9% -31%
Arlington: 7.1%
Renter share
42.0% -28%
Arlington: 58.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Brandon Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 5.4–5.8

Why Brandon Village scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
42% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
4.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.8 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.9–10.0 across tracts
8.2
Risk score comparison

Brandon Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Brandon Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Brandon Village: 5.55.5Brandon VillageNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Brandon Village?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.4 points from 5.4 to 5.8. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Brandon Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51013101401 5.8 1,635 27% $2,294
51013101409 5.6 2,183 19% $2,396
51013101408 5.5 695 27% $2,520
51013101300 5.4 7,269 61% $3,500
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 19

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 7%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 28%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 47%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Brandon Village

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 18Total filings (sum)
  • 2.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.4%Peak year (2016)
  • 2.28%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Brandon Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Brandon Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Brandon Village?

Brandon Village scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Brandon Village compare to Arlington overall?

Brandon Village scores 0.5 points lower than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $3,070 vs $2,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in Brandon Village?

Average gross rent in Brandon Village is $3,070/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Brandon Village residents are renters?

42% of Brandon Village households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 11,782 residents.
Q5

Is Brandon Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Brandon Village sits in the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Brandon Village have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Brandon Village is census tract 51013101401 (score 5.8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.8, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Brandon Village for landlords?

Brandon Village carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Brandon Village?

Brandon Village has 11,716 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (12.1%), Hispanic / Latino (9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Brandon Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Brandon Village.

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