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Neighborhood · Arlington, VA

Lyon Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 8,013 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.3–6.5

Lyon Village is a 3-tract neighborhood of Arlington, VA and houses 8,013 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.8/10, Moderate tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.4/10.

Cost burden runs 36% against 26.5% citywide, putting Lyon Village 9.6% over its own city. The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.3 to 6.5, a 1.2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. SNAP participation is 3.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

12% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10.

5.0% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. That places it #18 of 39 neighborhoods in Arlington.

For a like-for-like read, Addison Heights and Long Branch Creek score within a fraction of it. Against average income of $168,907, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent runs $2,418, close to the Arlington average. 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Lyon Village vs Arlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.1% +36%
Arlington: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$2,418 +4%
Arlington: $2,322
Average HH income
$168,907 +21%
Arlington: $140,160
Poverty rate
4.9% -31%
Arlington: 7.1%
Renter share
58.6% 0%
Arlington: 58.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lyon Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.3–6.5

Why Lyon Village scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
59% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
4.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.0 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.9–6.6 across tracts
5.5
Risk score comparison

Lyon Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lyon Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lyon Village: 5.85.8Lyon VillageNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Lyon Village?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 5.3 to 6.5. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Lyon Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51013101501 6.5 3,027 45% $2,058
51013101502 5.4 3,114 29% $2,682
51013101503 5.3 1,872 34% $2,563
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 13

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 3%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 43%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 60%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lyon Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lyon Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lyon Village?

Lyon Village scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lyon Village compare to Arlington overall?

Lyon Village scores 0.2 points lower than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,418 vs $2,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lyon Village?

Average gross rent in Lyon Village is $2,418/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lyon Village residents are renters?

59% of Lyon Village households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 8,013 residents.
Q5

Is Lyon Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Lyon Village sits in the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lyon Village have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lyon Village is census tract 51013101501 (score 6.5/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 6.5, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Lyon Village for landlords?

Lyon Village carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lyon Village?

Lyon Village has 8,040 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (68.8%), Hispanic / Latino (12.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lyon Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lyon Village.

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