5 census tracts · pop 15,869 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.1/10
· range 5.3–7.4
Lyon Park takes in 5 census tracts of Arlington, VA, population 15,869. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.1/10, Elevated tier. This is a renter market: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
The 5 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.3 to 7.4, a 2.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Against a Arlington baseline of 26.5%, 33% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The clearest offset is economic stress, at 2.5/10. The severe-burden share is 15%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Filings are well documented here: 15 across 3 observed tracts. SNAP participation is 5.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. Food insecurity affects 7.6% of adults, 10.2 points below the national rate. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 2.2% of renter households.
At $2,487 a month, rents sit 7% over what the rest of Arlington commands. Among the 39 mapped neighborhoods of Arlington, it ranks #10 by risk, the upper third.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
5 tracts · population-weighted
Lyon Park vs ArlingtonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport61%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Lyon Park
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
15Total filings (sum)
0.74%Avg annual filing rate
2.2%Peak year (2016)
0.74%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lyon Park
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
7.1%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility shutoff threat
7.1%Food insecurity
4.8%SNAP enrollment
6.4%No health insurance
18.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Lyon Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Lyon Park?
Lyon Park scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Lyon Park compare to Arlington overall?
Lyon Park scores 0.1 points higher than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 33% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,487 vs $2,322.
Q3
What is the average rent in Lyon Park?
Average gross rent in Lyon Park is $2,487/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Lyon Park residents are renters?
76% of Lyon Park households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 15,869 residents.
Q5
Is Lyon Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Lyon Park sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Lyon Park have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Lyon Park is census tract 51013101804 (score 7.4/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 7.4, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7
How safe is Lyon Park for landlords?
Lyon Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.1/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Lyon Park?
Lyon Park has 15,597 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.5%), Hispanic / Latino (14%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
