Mill Pond Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake
Tract 51550020804 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 11,816 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 51550020804 belongs to Mill Pond Forest in Chesapeake, Virginia. It is home to 11,816 residents and scores 4.7/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $3,162 a month while the average household earns $108,917 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 11% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.7417, -76.1812 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mill Pond Forest scores 1.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Mill Pond Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 208Total filings over 6 yrs
- 5.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2014)
- 40Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.2%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 14.5%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Mill Pond Forest
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51550020804
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550020804?
What is the average rent in tract 51550020804?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550020804?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550020804?
Is tract 51550020804 considered part of Mill Pond Forest?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51550020804?
What share of households in tract 51550020804 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51550020804 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.