1 census tracts · pop 4,230 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.1/10
· range 7.1–7.1
Quail Oaks maps to a single census tract in Bellwood, VA, population 4,230. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.1/10, Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 57% against 40.9% citywide, putting Quail Oaks 15.7% over its own city.
Average gross rent is $1,592, 50% above the Bellwood average of $1,059. Severe burden reaches 34%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10.
Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10. On the high side is housing-court posture at 8.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 378 evictions logged in this tract.
The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 16.4% of renter households. Judgments average 9.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Bensley Village and Drewrys Bluff. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $61,347.
44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 7.1/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Quail Oaks vs BellwoodHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport54%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Quail Oaks
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
378Total filings (sum)
18.90%Avg annual filing rate
16.4%Peak year (2016)
16.42%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Quail Oaks
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
18.5%Housing insecurity
12.2%Utility shutoff threat
23.1%Food insecurity
20.7%SNAP enrollment
14.9%No health insurance
36.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Quail Oaks
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Quail Oaks?
Quail Oaks scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Quail Oaks compare to Bellwood overall?
Quail Oaks scores 1.4 points higher than Bellwood overall (5.7/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 41% citywide. Average rent: $1,592 vs $1,059.
Q3
What is the average rent in Quail Oaks?
Average gross rent in Quail Oaks is $1,592/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Quail Oaks residents are renters?
44% of Quail Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Bellwood). The neighborhood has 4,230 residents.
Q5
Is Quail Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?
Quail Oaks sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Quail Oaks for landlords?
Quail Oaks carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bellwood as a whole (5.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Quail Oaks?
Quail Oaks has 4,779 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (32.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (29.9%), Hispanic / Latino (28.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
