Neighborhood · Bellwood, VA

Quail Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,230 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Quail Oaks is a white-black neighborhood in Bellwood with 1 census tract and a population of 4,230 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 57% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 34% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,592/month sits 50% higher than the Bellwood citywide average ($1,059).

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Quail Oaks vs Bellwood How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

56.6% +38%

Bellwood: 40.9%

Average gross rent

$1,592 +50%

Bellwood: $1,059

Average HH income

$61,347 +22%

Bellwood: $50,172

Poverty rate

16.6% -7%

Bellwood: 17.9%

Renter share

43.5% -22%

Bellwood: 56.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Quail Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Quail Oaks scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts

8.6

Rent control risk

57% of income on rent · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts

9.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts

2.7

Tenant organizing strength

44% renter households · Range 9.4–9.4 across tracts

9.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts

8.3

Economic stress

16.6% below poverty line · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts

4.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Risk score comparison

Quail Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Quail Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51041100407	4.5	4,230	57%	$1,592

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 79

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 88%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 64%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 54%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Quail Oaks

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

378Total filings (sum)
18.90%Avg annual filing rate
16.4%Peak year (2016)
16.42%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Quail Oaks

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

18.5%Housing insecurity
12.2%Utility shutoff threat
23.1%Food insecurity
20.7%SNAP enrollment
14.9%No health insurance
36.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Quail Oaks

What is the eviction-risk score for Quail Oaks?

Quail Oaks scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Quail Oaks compare to Bellwood overall?

Quail Oaks scores 0.5 points higher than Bellwood overall (4/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 41% citywide. Average rent: $1,592 vs $1,059.

What is the average rent in Quail Oaks?

Average gross rent in Quail Oaks is $1,592/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Quail Oaks residents are renters?

44% of Quail Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Bellwood). The neighborhood has 4,230 residents.

Is Quail Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Quail Oaks sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Quail Oaks for landlords?

Quail Oaks carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bellwood as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Quail Oaks?

Quail Oaks has 4,779 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (32.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (29.9%), Hispanic / Latino (28.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Quail Oaks

2 Grove Place 2 tracts · pop 13,059 5.1 Drewrys Bluff 2 tracts · pop 5,232 4.8 Bensley Village 2 tracts · pop 4,736 3.4 Hunting Creek Hills 2 tracts · pop 7,385 2.4 Tinsberry Trace 2 tracts · pop 11,809 2.2 Brighton Green 2 tracts · pop 5,513

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bellwood

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Quail Oaks.

4.7 Bensley Village 2 tracts · pop 4,736 4.9 Drewrys Bluff 2 tracts · pop 5,232

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