1 census tracts · pop 2,378 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10
· range 5.2–5.2
Patromdale maps to a single census tract in Chester, VA, population 2,378. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 51% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Cost burden runs roughly two in three against 29.5% citywide, putting Patromdale 38.3% over its own city. Set annual rent against average household income of $49,205 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10. Court records for this tract carry 692 eviction filings.
SNAP participation is 24.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 22.7% of renter households.
That places it #1 of 4 neighborhoods in Chester. Judgments average 3.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Patromdale vs ChesterHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority68%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport57%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Patromdale
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
692Total filings (sum)
13.22%Avg annual filing rate
22.7%Peak year (2016)
22.68%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Patromdale
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
17.5%Housing insecurity
12.9%Utility shutoff threat
23.7%Food insecurity
24.2%SNAP enrollment
12.1%No health insurance
41.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Patromdale
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Patromdale?
Patromdale scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Patromdale compare to Chester overall?
Patromdale scores 1.4 points higher than Chester overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 68% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,549 vs $1,603.
Q3
What is the average rent in Patromdale?
Average gross rent in Patromdale is $1,549/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Patromdale residents are renters?
72% of Patromdale households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Chester). The neighborhood has 2,378 residents.
Q5
Is Patromdale a high social-vulnerability area?
Patromdale sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Patromdale for landlords?
Patromdale carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chester as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Patromdale?
Patromdale has 2,297 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (41%), White (non-Hispanic) (36.4%), Hispanic / Latino (14.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
