Neighborhood · Chester, VA

Patromdale Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,378 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 4.1–4.1

Patromdale is a black-white neighborhood in Chester with 1 census tract and a population of 2,378 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 68% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 51% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,549/month sits 3% lower than the Chester citywide average ($1,603).

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Patromdale vs Chester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

67.8% +130%

Chester: 29.5%

Average gross rent

$1,549 -3%

Chester: $1,603

Average HH income

$49,205 -44%

Chester: $88,455

Poverty rate

24.7% +217%

Chester: 7.8%

Renter share

71.5% +149%

Chester: 28.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Patromdale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.1–4.1

Why Patromdale scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Rent control risk

68% of income on rent · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

72% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Economic stress

24.7% below poverty line · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts

4.1

Risk score comparison

Patromdale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Patromdale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51041100410	4.1	2,378	68%	$1,549

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 79

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 71%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 93%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 68%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 57%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Patromdale

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

692Total filings (sum)
13.22%Avg annual filing rate
22.7%Peak year (2016)
22.68%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Patromdale

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

17.5%Housing insecurity
12.9%Utility shutoff threat
23.7%Food insecurity
24.2%SNAP enrollment
12.1%No health insurance
41.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Patromdale

What is the eviction-risk score for Patromdale?

Patromdale scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Patromdale compare to Chester overall?

Patromdale scores 0.9 points higher than Chester overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 68% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,549 vs $1,603.

What is the average rent in Patromdale?

Average gross rent in Patromdale is $1,549/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Patromdale residents are renters?

72% of Patromdale households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Chester). The neighborhood has 2,378 residents.

Is Patromdale a high social-vulnerability area?

Patromdale sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Patromdale for landlords?

Patromdale carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chester as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Patromdale?

Patromdale has 2,297 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (41%), White (non-Hispanic) (36.4%), Hispanic / Latino (14.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Patromdale

2 Grove Place 2 tracts · pop 13,059 3.4 Hunting Creek Hills 2 tracts · pop 7,385 2.4 Tinsberry Trace 2 tracts · pop 11,809 5.1 Drewrys Bluff 2 tracts · pop 5,232 4.8 Bensley Village 2 tracts · pop 4,736 2.1 Cameron Bay 2 tracts · pop 9,327

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Patromdale.

2.4 Tinsberry Trace 2 tracts · pop 11,809 2.1 Tradiations of America 1 tracts · pop 5,614 1.9 Grove Place 2 tracts · pop 13,059

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