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Neighborhood · Ettrick, VA

College Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,419 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

College Park maps to a single census tract in Ettrick, VA, population 3,419. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 35%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.4/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.1/10.

The filing record is not thin: 478 evictions logged in this tract. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for about half of renter households.

Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 54.6% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 26.1% of adults, 8.3 points above the national rate. Recent filings have not receded much: 41.4% in 2016 against a 54.6% peak.

Average gross rent is $1,102, 7% below the Ettrick average of $1,191. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $56,050. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
College Park vs Ettrick How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.4% +1%
Ettrick: 51.0%
Average gross rent
$1,102 -7%
Ettrick: $1,191
Average HH income
$56,050 +2%
Ettrick: $54,857
Poverty rate
8.5% -8%
Ettrick: 9.2%
Renter share
32.9% +17%
Ettrick: 28.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across College Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why College Park scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
33% renter households · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Economic stress
8.5% below poverty line · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–1.4 across tracts
1.4
Risk score comparison

College Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

College Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4College ParkNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in College Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51041100600 5.4 3,419 51% $1,102
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 67

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 75%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 13%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 72%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in College Park

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 478Total filings (sum)
  • 43.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 54.6%Peak year (2015)
  • 41.40%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in College Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About College Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for College Park?

College Park scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does College Park compare to Ettrick overall?

College Park scores 1.3 points higher than Ettrick overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 51% citywide. Average rent: $1,102 vs $1,191.
Q3

What is the average rent in College Park?

Average gross rent in College Park is $1,102/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of College Park residents are renters?

33% of College Park households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Ettrick). The neighborhood has 3,419 residents.
Q5

Is College Park a high social-vulnerability area?

College Park sits in the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is College Park for landlords?

College Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ettrick as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of College Park?

College Park has 3,329 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (77.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (11.7%), Hispanic / Latino (7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near College Park

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