Neighborhood · Manchester, VA

Bexley Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,499 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.4–3.4

Bexley is a white-black neighborhood in Manchester with 1 census tract and a population of 6,499 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.4/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 49% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,361/month sits 13% lower than the Manchester citywide average ($1,558).

Risk score

3.4

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Bexley vs Manchester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

49.4% +41%

Manchester: 35.0%

Average gross rent

$1,361 -13%

Manchester: $1,558

Average HH income

$83,342 +15%

Manchester: $72,465

Poverty rate

9.0% -34%

Manchester: 13.6%

Renter share

19.9% -51%

Manchester: 40.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bexley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.4–3.4

Why Bexley scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts

8.6

Rent control risk

49% of income on rent · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts

2.8

Tenant organizing strength

20% renter households · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts

8.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts

7.4

Economic stress

9.0% below poverty line · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Risk score comparison

Bexley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Bexley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51041100209	3.4	6,499	49%	$1,361

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 37

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 63%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 70%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 2%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bexley

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

500Total filings (sum)
18.18%Avg annual filing rate
23.6%Peak year (2011)
10.73%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bexley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

11.6%Housing insecurity
7.4%Utility shutoff threat
13.0%Food insecurity
10.3%SNAP enrollment
9.1%No health insurance
29.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Bexley

What is the eviction-risk score for Bexley?

Bexley scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Bexley compare to Manchester overall?

Bexley scores 0.5 points lower than Manchester overall (3.9/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,361 vs $1,558.

What is the average rent in Bexley?

Average gross rent in Bexley is $1,361/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Bexley residents are renters?

20% of Bexley households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Manchester). The neighborhood has 6,499 residents.

Is Bexley a high social-vulnerability area?

Bexley sits in the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Bexley for landlords?

Bexley carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Manchester as a whole (3.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Bexley?

Bexley has 6,725 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (30.9%), Hispanic / Latino (5.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bexley

2.2 Brighton Green 2 tracts · pop 5,513 5.1 Drewrys Bluff 2 tracts · pop 5,232 3.4 Hunting Creek Hills 2 tracts · pop 7,385 4.8 Bensley Village 2 tracts · pop 4,736 2.1 Cameron Bay 2 tracts · pop 9,327 2 Grove Place 2 tracts · pop 13,059

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Manchester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bexley.

3.8 Worthington Farms 1 tracts · pop 2,007 5.6 Chesterfield Village 1 tracts · pop 2,511

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