Bucknell Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.7/10.

The filing record is not thin: 29 evictions logged in this tract. At $2,099 a month, rents sit 15% over what the rest of Groveton commands.

SNAP participation is 6.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 3.5% of renter households.

Food insecurity affects 9.8% of adults, 8.0 points below the national rate. Recent filings have not receded much: 4.2% in 2016 against a 3.5% peak.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Valley View and Groveton Heights. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 5.6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.