1 census tracts · pop 7,070 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10
· range 5.7–5.7
Laurel Crest is a one-tract neighborhood of Lorton, VA and houses 7,070 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.7/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 50% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Lorton rate of 32.2%.
Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. Court records for this tract carry 550 eviction filings.
Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.9/10. Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 12.9% of renter households.
Recent filings have not receded much: 10.2% in 2016 against a 12.9% peak. For a like-for-like read, Springfield Oaks and Gunston Heights score within a fraction of it. Average gross rent runs $2,405, close to the Lorton average.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $119,754. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Laurel Crest vs LortonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport50%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Laurel Crest
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
550Total filings (sum)
10.77%Avg annual filing rate
12.9%Peak year (2011)
10.16%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Laurel Crest
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.9%Housing insecurity
10.3%Utility shutoff threat
18.4%Food insecurity
15.2%SNAP enrollment
10.0%No health insurance
27.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Laurel Crest
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Laurel Crest?
Laurel Crest scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Laurel Crest compare to Lorton overall?
Laurel Crest scores 1.1 points higher than Lorton overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,405 vs $2,548.
Q3
What is the average rent in Laurel Crest?
Average gross rent in Laurel Crest is $2,405/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Laurel Crest residents are renters?
45% of Laurel Crest households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Lorton). The neighborhood has 7,070 residents.
Q5
Is Laurel Crest a high social-vulnerability area?
Laurel Crest sits in the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Laurel Crest for landlords?
Laurel Crest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lorton as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Laurel Crest?
Laurel Crest has 7,328 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (27.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (27.6%), Hispanic / Latino (20.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
