Herndon Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,750, 23% below the Herndon average.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.7/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.6/10.

Court records carry 118 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 6.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $141,250, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.