Southridge Eviction Risk: Lower , McLean
Tract 51059470800 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,215 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
In the Southridge area of McLean, census tract 51059470800 scores 5.6/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 59% of US census tracts.
40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,501 monthly, set against $216,563 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across McLean and the region
Centroid at 38.9208, -77.1830 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southridge scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Southridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 17Total filings over 4 yrs
- 1.87%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.0%Peak (2012)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.3%Housing insecurity
- 2.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.8%Food insecurity
- 2.7%SNAP enrollment
- 3.2%Transit barriers
- 3.9%No health insurance
- 9.8%Frequent mental distress
- 19.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Southridge
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from McLean eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 4.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 17 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 1.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.0% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51059470800
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059470800?
What is the average rent in tract 51059470800?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059470800?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059470800?
Is tract 51059470800 considered part of Southridge?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059470800?
What share of households in tract 51059470800 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059470800 compare to McLean overall?
Highest-risk tracts in McLean
Top eight tracts in McLean ranked by composite eviction-risk score.