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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Halley Rise Eviction Risk: Lower , Reston

Tract 51059481201 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 1,435 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

51059481201 is a census tract in the Halley Rise area of Reston, VA. It scores 3.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,435. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 4% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units381
Renter share3.7%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate0.6%
Median income$213,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Halley Rise
Very Low
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#13 of 19 tracts In Reston
Low
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#138 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Moderate
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#1,203 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Reston and the region

Centroid at 38.9477, -77.3842 · click any tract to drill in

Why Halley Rise scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Reston
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,850 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Reston
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Reston
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Reston
3.8

How Halley Rise compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Halley Rise risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 481201Reston: 4.34.3Restonparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 10.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.6%Peak (2011)
  • 5Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594812012011: 5 filings (10.64/100 renter HHs)2012: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Halley Rise. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Halley Rise

At $2,850 a month, rents run 28% over what the rest of Reston commands. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The voucher gap is 23.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.3/10. Housing insecurity runs 5.3% against 14.2% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 5 filings here across 1 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2011 at 10.6% of renter households.

In a typical year about 10.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059481201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059481201?

Census tract 51059481201 in the Halley Rise neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059481201?

Median gross rent is $2,850/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059481201?

0.6% of residents in tract 51059481201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,435.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059481201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 25th, minority 69th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 51059481201 considered part of Halley Rise?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059481201 fall within Halley Rise (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059481201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51059481201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.64% of renter households, peaking at 10.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059481201 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059481201 compare to Reston overall?

Tract 51059481201 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Reston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Reston

Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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