Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Pinecrest Eviction Risk: Lower , Reston
Tract 51059482301 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,189 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 51059482301 sits in the Pinecrest area of Reston eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. Population here is 5,189. 25% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Fairfax County average of 41.0%.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,664
Renter share33.6%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$165,756
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Reston and the region
Centroid at 38.9404, -77.3398 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pinecrest scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Reston
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,145 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Reston
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Reston
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Reston
3.8
How Pinecrest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 25Total filings over 4 yrs
- 1.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.6%Peak (2012)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pinecrest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.5%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.6%Food insecurity
- 3.6%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 4.9%No health insurance
- 11.7%Frequent mental distress
- 19.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pinecrest
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.3/10. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 5.6% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 3.6% against 15.2% nationally.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 25 evictions over 4 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 1.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.5/10. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $165,756, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059482301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482301?
Census tract 51059482301 in the Pinecrest neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059482301?
Median gross rent is $2,145/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482301?
5.2% of residents in tract 51059482301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,189.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 9th, minority 47th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 51059482301 considered part of Pinecrest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482301 fall within Pinecrest (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059482301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059482301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.08% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059482301 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059482301 compare to Reston overall?
Tract 51059482301 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Reston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Reston
Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Deepwood
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Lake Anne Village
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lake Anne Village
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Halley Rise
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Colvin's Glen
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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