Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Pinecrest Eviction Risk: Lower , Reston
Tract 51059482400 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,129 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 51059482400 sits in the Pinecrest area of Reston eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. Population here is 2,129. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units748
Renter share3.2%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
22
th percentile
Low
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Reston and the region
Centroid at 38.9404, -77.3106 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pinecrest scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Reston
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,214 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Reston
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Reston
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Reston
3.8
How Pinecrest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3Total filings over 2 yrs
- 35.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 66.7%Peak (2016)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pinecrest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.2%Housing insecurity
- 2.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.4%Food insecurity
- 2.6%SNAP enrollment
- 3.2%Transit barriers
- 3.7%No health insurance
- 10.6%Frequent mental distress
- 19.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pinecrest
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, 29% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
Disability prevalence runs 19.5% against 31.5% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3 filings here across 2 tracked years.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2016 at 66.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 35.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059482400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482400?
Census tract 51059482400 in the Pinecrest neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059482400?
Median gross rent is $2,214/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482400?
1.8% of residents in tract 51059482400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,129.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 15th, minority 43th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 51059482400 considered part of Pinecrest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482400 fall within Pinecrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059482400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51059482400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 35.61% of renter households, peaking at 66.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059482400 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059482400 compare to Reston overall?
Tract 51059482400 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Reston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Reston
Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Deepwood
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Lake Anne Village
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lake Anne Village
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Halley Rise
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Colvin's Glen
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related