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Neighborhood · West Falls Church, VA

Valley Brook Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 1,677 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.8–3.8

Valley Brook is a one-tract neighborhood of West Falls Church, VA and houses 1,677 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.8/10, in the Lower tier. At $3,501 a month, rents sit 69% over what the rest of West Falls Church commands.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Court records for this tract carry 8 eviction filings.

3.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.3/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 9.4% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 5.9% in 2016 against a 9.4% peak. Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of West Falls Church, it ranks #6 by risk, the lower third.

At 4% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Valley Brook vs West Falls Church How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
0.0% -100%
West Falls Church: 28.0%
Average gross rent
$3,501 +69%
West Falls Church: $2,066
Average HH income
$161,875 +23%
West Falls Church: $131,236
Poverty rate
2.0% -74%
West Falls Church: 7.8%
Renter share
3.6% -89%
West Falls Church: 32.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Valley Brook and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.8–3.8

Why Valley Brook scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Rent control risk
0% of income on rent · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
4% renter households · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Economic stress
2.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Risk score comparison

Valley Brook vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Valley Brook score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Valley Brook: 3.83.8Valley BrookNeighborhoodParent city: 4.34.3Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Valley Brook

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059450900 3.8 1,677 0% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 5

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 6%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 56%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 1%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Valley Brook

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 8Total filings (sum)
  • 7.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.4%Peak year (2011)
  • 5.88%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Valley Brook

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Valley Brook

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Valley Brook?

Valley Brook scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Valley Brook compare to West Falls Church overall?

Valley Brook scores 0.5 points lower than West Falls Church overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 0% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $2,066.
Q3

What is the average rent in Valley Brook?

Average gross rent in Valley Brook is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Valley Brook residents are renters?

4% of Valley Brook households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in West Falls Church). The neighborhood has 1,677 residents.
Q5

Is Valley Brook a high social-vulnerability area?

Valley Brook sits in the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Valley Brook for landlords?

Valley Brook carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to West Falls Church as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Valley Brook?

Valley Brook has 1,595 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (23.9%), Hispanic / Latino (7.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Valley Brook

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside West Falls Church

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Valley Brook.

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