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Neighborhood · Highland Springs, VA

Fairlawn Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,531 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Fairlawn Heights is a one-tract neighborhood of Highland Springs, VA, population 3,531. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 41%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Against a Highland Springs baseline of 30.2%, 56% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 7.9/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.6/10.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.7/10. SNAP participation is 23.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Average gross rent runs $1,306, close to the Highland Springs average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $52,163. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 5.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Fairlawn Heights vs Highland Springs How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.4% +87%
Highland Springs: 30.2%
Average gross rent
$1,306 +3%
Highland Springs: $1,269
Average HH income
$52,163 -8%
Highland Springs: $56,931
Poverty rate
27.2% +62%
Highland Springs: 16.7%
Renter share
30.4% -21%
Highland Springs: 38.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fairlawn Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Fairlawn Heights scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
30% renter households · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Economic stress
27.2% below poverty line · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Risk score comparison

Fairlawn Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fairlawn Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4Fairlawn HeightsNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Fairlawn Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51087201204 5.4 3,531 56% $1,306
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 75%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 51%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fairlawn Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Fairlawn Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fairlawn Heights?

Fairlawn Heights scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fairlawn Heights compare to Highland Springs overall?

Fairlawn Heights scores 1.4 points higher than Highland Springs overall (4/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,306 vs $1,269.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fairlawn Heights?

Average gross rent in Fairlawn Heights is $1,306/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fairlawn Heights residents are renters?

30% of Fairlawn Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in Highland Springs). The neighborhood has 3,531 residents.
Q5

Is Fairlawn Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Fairlawn Heights sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Fairlawn Heights for landlords?

Fairlawn Heights carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Highland Springs as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Fairlawn Heights?

Fairlawn Heights has 3,773 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (50.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (42.1%), Hispanic / Latino (4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fairlawn Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Highland Springs

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fairlawn Heights.

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