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Neighborhood · Highland Springs, VA

Fairlawn Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,531 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 5.3–5.3

Fairlawn Heights is a black-white neighborhood in Highland Springs with 1 census tract and a population of 3,531 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 56% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 41% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,306/month sits 3% higher than the Highland Springs citywide average ($1,269).

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Fairlawn Heights vs Highland Springs How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.4% +87%
Highland Springs: 30.2%
Average gross rent
$1,306 +3%
Highland Springs: $1,269
Average HH income
$52,163 -8%
Highland Springs: $56,931
Poverty rate
27.2% +62%
Highland Springs: 16.7%
Renter share
30.4% -21%
Highland Springs: 38.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fairlawn Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.3–5.3

Why Fairlawn Heights scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
30% renter households · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Economic stress
27.2% below poverty line · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Risk score comparison

Fairlawn Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fairlawn Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Fairlawn Heights: 5.35.3Fairlawn HeightsNeighborhoodParent city: 3.73.7Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Fairlawn Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51087201204 5.3 3,531 56% $1,306
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 75%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 51%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fairlawn Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Fairlawn Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fairlawn Heights?

Fairlawn Heights scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fairlawn Heights compare to Highland Springs overall?

Fairlawn Heights scores 1.6 points higher than Highland Springs overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,306 vs $1,269.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fairlawn Heights?

Average gross rent in Fairlawn Heights is $1,306/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fairlawn Heights residents are renters?

30% of Fairlawn Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in Highland Springs). The neighborhood has 3,531 residents.
Q5

Is Fairlawn Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Fairlawn Heights sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Fairlawn Heights for landlords?

Fairlawn Heights carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Highland Springs as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Fairlawn Heights?

Fairlawn Heights has 3,773 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (50.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (42.1%), Hispanic / Latino (4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fairlawn Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Highland Springs

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fairlawn Heights.

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