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Census Tract · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally

Leesburg Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51107610504 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 7,324 · 98% of tract blocks fall in Leesburg

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51107610504 (Leesburg, Virginia) comes in at 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #43,987 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 36% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,909 a month against an average household income of $115,227 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 22% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units2,550
Renter share34.0%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate1.3%
Median income$115,227

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 9 tracts In Leesburg
Moderate
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#22 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Elevated
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#1,772 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
National
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#79,998 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Leesburg and the region

Centroid at 39.1209, -77.5498 · click any tract to drill in

Why Leesburg scores 1.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,909 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leesburg
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leesburg
5.4

How Leesburg compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Leesburg risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.41.4This tracttract 610504Leesburg: 3.53.5Leesburgparent cityCounty: 1.31.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 59Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 7.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.0%Peak (2016)
  • 59Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Leesburg

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Leesburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Loudoun County average of 5.2 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 59 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 8.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.0% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107610504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610504?

Census tract 51107610504 in Leesburg scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51107610504?

Median gross rent is $1,909/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610504?

1.3% of residents in tract 51107610504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,324.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 18th, minority 51th, housing 24th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610504?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 59 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.95% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 51107610504 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51107610504 compare to Leesburg overall?

Tract 51107610504 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Leesburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leesburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Leesburg

Top eight tracts in Leesburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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