Neighborhood · Ranked #25,210 of 84,120 nationally

Stratford Eviction Risk: Moderate , Leesburg

Tract 51107610603 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 3,738 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 51107610603 sits in the Stratford neighborhood of Leesburg, Virginia. It has a population of 3,738 and an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). 59% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 23% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,876/month against a median household income of $89,250 — roughly 25% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 20% Owners 52%

Tract context

Occupied units1,639

Renter share47.6%

SVI overall0.79

Poverty rate6.7%

Median income$89,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Leesburg and the region

Centroid at 39.1037, -77.5612 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stratford scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Leesburg

6.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

6.7% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$1,876 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Leesburg

6.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Leesburg

6.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Leesburg

5.4

How Stratford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

71%Socioeconomic
74%Household composition
71%Racial/ethnic minority
75%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

12Total filings over 1 yrs
1.53%Avg annual filing rate
1.5%Peak (2016)
12Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Stratford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.6%Housing insecurity
7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
14.0%Food insecurity
10.7%SNAP enrollment
7.9%Transit barriers
10.8%No health insurance
16.2%Frequent mental distress
28.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 51107610603

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610603?

Census tract 51107610603 in the Stratford neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51107610603?

Median gross rent is $1,876/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610603?

6.7% of residents in tract 51107610603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,738.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 74th, minority 71th, housing 75th.

Is tract 51107610603 considered part of Stratford?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107610603 fall within Stratford (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610603?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.53% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 51107610603 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51107610603 compare to Leesburg overall?

Tract 51107610603 scores 5.8/10 — right in line with the parent city of Leesburg at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leesburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Leesburg

Top eight tracts in Leesburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.