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Census Tract · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally

Leesburg Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51107610400 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 4,677 · 68% of tract blocks fall in Leesburg

Census tract 51107610400 sits in Leesburg eviction risk, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. On the national scale it ranks #25,071 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,304 a month while the average household earns $161,207 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 20% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 10% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,600
Renter share20.4%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$161,207

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 9 tracts In Leesburg
Elevated
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#21 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Elevated
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#1,772 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
National
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#79,998 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Leesburg and the region

Centroid at 39.1353, -77.5641 · click any tract to drill in

Why Leesburg scores 1.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,304 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leesburg
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leesburg
5.4

How Leesburg compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Leesburg risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.41.4This tracttract 610400Leesburg: 3.53.5Leesburgparent cityCounty: 1.31.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 8Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 2.37%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.4%Peak (2016)
  • 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Leesburg

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Leesburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Loudoun County average of 5.2 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 8 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 2.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.4% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107610400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610400?

Census tract 51107610400 in Leesburg scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51107610400?

Median gross rent is $2,304/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610400?

6.7% of residents in tract 51107610400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,677.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 55th, minority 38th, housing 72th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.37% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 51107610400 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51107610400 compare to Leesburg overall?

Tract 51107610400 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Leesburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leesburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Leesburg

Top eight tracts in Leesburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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