Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Leesburg Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51107610400 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 4,677 · 68% of tract blocks fall in Leesburg
51107610400 is a census tract in Leesburg, VA. It scores 4.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,677. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,600
Renter share20.4%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$161,207
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Leesburg and the region
Centroid at 39.1353, -77.5641 · click any tract to drill in
Why Leesburg scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,304 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leesburg
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leesburg
5.4
How Leesburg compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 8Total filings over 1 yrs
- 2.37%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.4%Peak (2016)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.9%Food insecurity
- 4.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.5%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 27.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Leesburg
Against Loudoun County at 37.5%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.7/10.
Food insecurity runs 6.9% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10.
The filing record is not thin: 8 evictions over 1 years of observation. Housing insecurity runs 6.1% against 14.2% nationally.
At $2,304 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Leesburg commands. Filings peaked in 2016 at 2.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 4.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107610400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610400?
Census tract 51107610400 in Leesburg scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107610400?
Median gross rent is $2,304/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610400?
6.7% of residents in tract 51107610400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,677.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 55th, minority 38th, housing 72th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.37% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51107610400 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51107610400 compare to Leesburg overall?
Tract 51107610400 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Leesburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leesburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Leesburg
Top eight tracts in Leesburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Stratford
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Stratford
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Village at Leesburg
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610601
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610504
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610503
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610602
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kincaid Forest
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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