Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Village at Leesburg Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51107610506 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 5,851 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 51107610506 in the Village at Leesburg area of Leesburg, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,851 residents. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Loudoun County average of 37.5%.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units2,079
Renter share48.1%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$138,609
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Leesburg and the region
Centroid at 39.0895, -77.5260 · click any tract to drill in
Why Village at Leesburg scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,213 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leesburg
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leesburg
5.4
How Village at Leesburg compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 120Total filings over 1 yrs
- 15.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.2%Peak (2016)
- 120Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.2%Food insecurity
- 9.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 9.2%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 25.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Village at Leesburg
The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is economic stress at 2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10.
Court records carry 120 eviction filings across 1 observed years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 15.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 15.2% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. It tracks the Loudoun County average of 4.1 closely.
Average gross rent is $2,213, close to the Leesburg average. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $138,609. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107610506
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610506?
Census tract 51107610506 in the Village at Leesburg neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107610506?
Median gross rent is $2,213/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610506?
8.0% of residents in tract 51107610506 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,851.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610506?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 40th, minority 72th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 51107610506 considered part of Village at Leesburg?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107610506 fall within Village at Leesburg (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610506?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 120 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610506 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.19% of renter households, peaking at 15.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51107610506 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51107610506 compare to Leesburg overall?
Tract 51107610506 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Leesburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leesburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Leesburg
Top eight tracts in Leesburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Stratford
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Stratford
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
51107610601
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610504
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610400
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610602
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kincaid Forest
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610503
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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