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Census Tract · Ranked #22,404 of 84,120 nationally

Leesburg Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 51107610601 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 7,317 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Leesburg

Census tract 51107610601 is in Leesburg, Virginia. It has a population of 7,317 and an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). 55% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 38% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,923/month against a median household income of $169,349 — roughly 14% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 12% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,806
Renter share27.3%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$169,349

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank — 75th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 9 tracts In Leesburg
High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank — 96th percentileBottomTop
#4 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Very High
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank — 79th percentileBottomTop
#460 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
National
73 th percentile
Rank — 73th percentileBottomTop
#22,404 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Leesburg and the region

Centroid at 39.0966, -77.5953 · click any tract to drill in

Why Leesburg scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,923 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leesburg
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leesburg
5.4

How Leesburg compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Leesburg risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 610601Leesburg: 5.85.8Leesburgparent cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.35.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 39Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 6.96%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.0%Peak (2016)
  • 39Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107610601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610601?

Census tract 51107610601 in Leesburg scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51107610601?

Median gross rent is $1,923/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610601?

8.3% of residents in tract 51107610601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,317.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 56th, minority 42th, housing 11th.

Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 39 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.96% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q6

What share of households in tract 51107610601 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q7

How does tract 51107610601 compare to Leesburg overall?

Tract 51107610601 scores 5.9/10 — right in line with the parent city of Leesburg at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leesburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Leesburg

Top eight tracts in Leesburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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