Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Leesburg Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51107610601 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 7,317 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Leesburg
Census tract 51107610601 covers part of Leesburg, VA, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,317 residents. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,806
Renter share27.3%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$169,349
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Leesburg and the region
Centroid at 39.0966, -77.5953 · click any tract to drill in
Why Leesburg scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,923 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leesburg
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leesburg
5.4
How Leesburg compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 39Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.0%Peak (2016)
- 39Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 6.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 7.2%No health insurance
- 14.5%Frequent mental distress
- 25.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Leesburg
Cost burden runs 55% here against 37.5% across Loudoun County. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 2.1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10.
Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 39 evictions over 1 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 7.0% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,923, 9% below the Leesburg average.
In a typical year about 7.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3/10.
Against average income of $169,349, annual rent is just 14%.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107610601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610601?
Census tract 51107610601 in Leesburg scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107610601?
Median gross rent is $1,923/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610601?
8.3% of residents in tract 51107610601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,317.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 56th, minority 42th, housing 11th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 39 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.96% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51107610601 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51107610601 compare to Leesburg overall?
Tract 51107610601 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Leesburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leesburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Leesburg
Top eight tracts in Leesburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Stratford
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Stratford
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Village at Leesburg
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610504
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610400
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610602
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kincaid Forest
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610503
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related